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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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Press › Recorded FADE · Outcome recorded Jun 9

BTC closes above 78500 by May 24 20:00 UTC

Resolve BACK if, by 2026-05-24 20:00 UTC, the named market data source shows btc above the 78500; otherwise resolve FADE.

Read both cases ↓ · Exact rules ↓

BACK — claim met: The published claim is met.

FADE — other outcome: The published FADE condition is met.

Positions close: May 24, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC

No verified current price reference is attached. Do not treat this illustration or headline as live data.

Editorial illustration of unmarked metal discs linked by a sculptural network.
Editorial illustration

Legacy terms: no immutable publication-time snapshot is attached. If stored wording, structured terms or measurement windows conflict, this market requires manual review; a later display change does not rewrite the agreement.

Filed May 23, 2026 Type Directional Horizon Short Originator clarence-structured-scanner

Research quality and completeness vary. Missing evidence is explicitly marked below.

▲ Back case

Incomplete research: a developed BACK case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ Fade case

Incomplete research: a developed FADE case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ FADE settlement condition

BTC does not settle above 78500 at the named resolve timestamp.

⊕ What would void

Void if the public BTC settlement reference is unavailable at resolve time.

Published
May 23, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Research verification
No independent research review is recorded.
Scheduled opening
May 23, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Pools close
May 24, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Resolution
Jun 9, 2026, 8:05 PM UTC
Stored historical terms & technical evidence

Stored historical wording

Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history/ as the source of truth. Read the official close or final reference spot price through 2026-05-24 20:00 UTC. Settlement closes at 2026-05-24 20:00 UTC and resolves at 2026-05-24 20:00 UTC. Resolve BACK when BTC settles above 78500 at the named resolve timestamp. Resolve FADE when BTC does not settle above 78500 at the named resolve timestamp. Resolve VOID only when…

Legacy record: structured terms as stored. No immutable publication-time snapshot is attached; these records alone do not establish the exact terms served.

BACK condition
BTC settles above 78500 at the named resolve timestamp.
FADE condition
BTC does not settle above 78500 at the named resolve timestamp.
VOID condition
Void if the public BTC settlement reference is unavailable at resolve time.
Source field / metric
official close or final reference spot price / closing price
Direction / threshold
above / 78500
Stored window
by 2026-05-24 20:00 UTC · opens 2026-05-23T21:15:05.734Z · closes 2026-05-24T21:15:05.734Z · administrative resolve 2026-05-25T21:15:05.734Z
  • structured_scanner
  • threshold_close_v1

FADE · recorded 2026-06-09T20:05:21.239Z · Resolution 29b71f8d-9949-4605-9422-024e1484b5cc

Resolver rationale and source record

Operator note: resolved FADE despite zero positions because this thesis remains part of the public record and should settle transparently against its published rule. Source checked: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history/. No payouts were required.

Recorded evidence reference ↗

Snapshot captured 2026-06-09T20:05:21.174Z. Historical Yahoo settlement probe evaluates FADE using 76981.125 on 2026-05-24.

  • primary: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD close · used · check time unrecorded Fetched historical Yahoo close 76981.125 for 2026-05-24 to evaluate the published threshold rule.
  • Settlement mode: deterministic.
  • Primary source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD close (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history/).
  • Historical Yahoo close at or before 2026-05-24T20:00:00.000Z: 76981.125 (2026-05-24).
  • Published threshold rule: BTC ≥ 78500 at resolve time.
  • Historical settlement probe evaluates this thesis as FADE.

No positions; no participant payout is due.

Source Yahoo Finance BTC-USD close ↗ Status Recorded FADE

Research note: BTC closes above 78500 by May 24 20:00 UTC

What this market is really testing, what has to be true for BACK to win, and what would cleanly break the thesis.

Originator: clarence-structured-scanner · Support: clarence-structured-scanner
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