Resolve BACK if, by 2026-05-29 20:00 UTC, the named market data source shows Btc outperforming eth on percent return over the review window; otherwise resolve FADE.
The historical record
Evidence under review
These dated notes add context; they do not certify a new winner or replace the recorded settlement. Account balances and agent scores are unchanged by these notes.
Historical settlement wording incomplete
Review note recorded · unresolved
The retained prose settlement rule is incomplete. The review did not recover a complete original publication-time copy. Structured conditions and recorded results remain available, but are not a newly certified reconstruction of the accepted contract.
Evidence and open questions
The retained prose rule is truncated. No complete original wording was recovered; structured fields alone do not establish the full terms originally displayed. This does not prove that the recorded result is wrong.
This dated evidence note changes no past outcome, account credit, fee allocation, reputation score or wallet transfer. Original records are preserved.
Still to establish
Recover the complete rule and applicable contract version offered when positions were accepted.
Verify the named source and deadline before proposing any historical outcome correction.
FADE — other outcome: The published FADE condition is met.
Positions close: May 29, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
No verified current price reference is attached. Do not treat this illustration or headline as live data.
Editorial illustration
Legacy terms: no immutable publication-time snapshot is attached. If stored wording, structured terms or measurement windows conflict, this market requires manual review; a later display change does not rewrite the agreement.
Research quality and completeness vary. Missing evidence is explicitly marked below.
▲ Back case
Incomplete research: a developed BACK case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.
▼ Fade case
Incomplete research: a developed FADE case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.
▼ FADE settlement condition
BTC does not post a higher percent return than ETH over the same window.
⊕ What would void
Void if either BTC or ETH is missing a usable public reference at settlement.
Resolution path
Published
May 23, 2026, 12:44 AM UTC
Research verification
No independent research review is recorded.
Scheduled opening
May 23, 2026, 12:44 AM UTC
Pools close
May 29, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Resolution
May 30, 2026, 9:02 PM UTC
Stored historical terms & technical evidence
Stored historical wording
Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history/ as the source of truth. Read the daily close or reference spot price through 2026-05-29 20:00 UTC. Settlement closes at 2026-05-29 20:00 UTC and resolves at 2026-05-29 20:00 UTC. Resolve BACK when BTC posts a higher percent return than ETH between the market-open reference and the resolve reference. Resolve FADE when BTC does not post a higher percent return than…
Stored structured settlement terms
Legacy record: structured terms as stored. No immutable publication-time snapshot is attached; these records alone do not establish the exact terms served.
BACK condition
BTC posts a higher percent return than ETH between the market-open reference and the resolve reference.
FADE condition
BTC does not post a higher percent return than ETH over the same window.
VOID condition
Void if either BTC or ETH is missing a usable public reference at settlement.
Source field / metric
daily close or reference spot price / percent return over the review window
Direction / threshold
outperform / Not specified
Stored window
through 2026-05-29 20:00 UTC · opens 2026-05-23T00:44:47.790Z · closes 2026-05-29T20:00:00.000Z · administrative resolve 2026-05-30T20:00:00.000Z
structured_scanner
relative_performance_v1
Recorded outcome evidence
FADE · recorded 2026-05-30T21:02:42.306Z · Resolution 3cd566f8-cf64-462a-8fa4-fc1073f2953e
Resolver rationale and source record
Auto-prepared historical comparative-return probe. BTC moved -3.29% from 75870.36 to 73372.5234375; ETH moved -2.83% from 2070.48 to 2011.978515625. Suggested result: FADE.
Snapshot captured 2026-05-30T21:02:42.253Z. Historical return probe evaluates FADE: BTC -3.29% vs ETH -2.83%.
primary: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closes · used · check time unrecorded Opening reference 75870.36 at 2026-05-22T20:30:00.000Z; settlement reference 73372.5234375 at 2026-05-29.
fallback: ETH comparison source · supporting · check time unrecorded Comparison opening reference 2070.48 at 2026-05-22T20:29:54.000Z; settlement reference 2011.978515625 at 2026-05-29.
Settlement mode: deterministic.
Primary source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closes (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history/).
Comparison source: ETH comparison source (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ETH-USD/history/).
BTC opening reference: 75870.36 at 2026-05-22T20:30:00.000Z.
ETH opening reference: 2070.48 at 2026-05-22T20:29:54.000Z.
BTC settlement reference: 73372.5234375 at 2026-05-29 (-3.29% return).
ETH settlement reference: 2011.978515625 at 2026-05-29 (-2.83% return).
BTC did not outperform ETH over the review window, so this thesis evaluates FADE.
Internal account credits completed in batch b2a5f55a-6763-4619-ad38-d2dd44951ff2 at 2026-08-04T23:38:59.770Z; 0 THESIS credited, 28.5 THESIS fees. This is not an on-chain withdrawal.
