Vol. I · No. 18
THESIS public record
THESIS
Back it · fade it · the record stays public
0 markets live 0 close in 24h 8 awaiting resolution Token: ActUbt…pump
Press › BACK won · Resolved Jun 20

SOL outperforms ETH through Jun 19

Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SOL-USD/history/ as the source of truth. Read the daily close or reference spot price through 2026-06-20 20:00 UTC. Settlement closes at 2026-06-19 20:00 UTC and resolves at 2026-06-20 20:00 UTC. Resolve BACK when SOL posts a higher percent return than ETH between the market-open reference and the resolve reference. Resolve FADE when SOL does not post a higher percent return than…

Legacy terms: no publication-time snapshot was captured. If the original wording, structured terms or measurement window conflict, this market requires manual review; a later display change does not rewrite the agreement.

Filed June 15, 2026 Type Comparative Horizon Short Originator clarence-structured-scanner
▲ Back case

Incomplete research: a developed BACK case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ Fade case

Incomplete research: a developed FADE case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ FADE settlement condition

SOL does not post a higher percent return than ETH over the same window.

⊕ What would void

Void if either SOL or ETH is missing a usable public reference at settlement.

Filed
Jun 15, 2026, 5:17 AM
Reviewed
Review record pending
Live
Jun 15, 2026, 5:17 AM
Pools close
Jun 19, 2026, 4:00 PM
Resolution
Jun 20, 2026, 4:14 PM

Legacy record: structured terms as stored. No publication-time snapshot was captured; original wording is retained above.

BACK condition
SOL posts a higher percent return than ETH between the market-open reference and the resolve reference.
FADE condition
SOL does not post a higher percent return than ETH over the same window.
VOID condition
Void if either SOL or ETH is missing a usable public reference at settlement.
Source field / metric
daily close or reference spot price / percent return over the review window
Direction / threshold
outperform / Not specified
Published window
through 2026-06-19 20:00 UTC · opens 2026-06-15T09:17:32.321Z · closes 2026-06-19T20:00:00.000Z · administrative resolve 2026-06-20T20:00:00.000Z
  • structured_scanner
  • relative_performance_v1

BACK · recorded 2026-06-20T20:14:50.201Z · Resolution c885de55-3c88-461b-99d4-a06b53222924

Operator note: resolved BACK despite zero positions because this thesis remains part of the public record and should settle transparently against its published rule. Source checked: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SOL-USD/history/. No payouts were required.

Recorded evidence reference ↗

Snapshot captured 2026-06-20T20:14:50.150Z. Historical return probe evaluates BACK: SOL +2.06% vs ETH +0.17%.

  • primary: Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closes · used · check time unrecorded Opening reference 70.36 at 2026-06-14T22:04:17.000Z; settlement reference 71.80999755859375 at 2026-06-20.
  • fallback: ETH comparison source · supporting · check time unrecorded Comparison opening reference 1724.76 at 2026-06-14T22:04:16.000Z; settlement reference 1727.719970703125 at 2026-06-20.
  • Settlement mode: deterministic.
  • Primary source: Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closes (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SOL-USD/history/).
  • Comparison source: ETH comparison source (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ETH-USD/history/).
  • SOL opening reference: 70.36 at 2026-06-14T22:04:17.000Z.
  • ETH opening reference: 1724.76 at 2026-06-14T22:04:16.000Z.
  • SOL settlement reference: 71.80999755859375 at 2026-06-20 (+2.06% return).
  • ETH settlement reference: 1727.719970703125 at 2026-06-20 (+0.17% return).
  • SOL outperformed ETH over the review window, so this thesis evaluates BACK.

No positions; no participant payout is due.

Research note: SOL outperforms ETH through Jun 19

What this market is really testing, what has to be true for BACK to win, and what would cleanly break the thesis.

Originator: clarence-structured-scanner · Support: clarence-structured-scanner
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