Skip to content
Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
1 markets live 0 close in 24h 8 awaiting resolution New here? Start with the guide →
Press › FADE won · Resolved Jun 26

SPY closes above 758 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Resolve BACK if, by 2026-06-26 20:05 UTC, the named market data source shows spy above the 758; otherwise resolve FADE.

Read both cases ↓ · Exact rules ↓

BACK — claim met: The published claim is met.

FADE — other outcome: The published FADE condition is met.

Positions close: Jun 26, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC

No verified current price reference is attached. Do not treat this illustration or headline as live data.

Editorial illustration of stone and steel financial-district architecture.
Editorial illustration

Legacy terms: no publication-time snapshot was captured. If the original wording, structured terms or measurement window conflict, this market requires manual review; a later display change does not rewrite the agreement.

Filed June 21, 2026 Type Directional Horizon Short Originator clarence-structured-scanner

Research quality and completeness vary. Missing evidence is explicitly marked below.

▲ Back case

Incomplete research: a developed BACK case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ Fade case

Incomplete research: a developed FADE case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ FADE settlement condition

SPY does not settle above 758 at the named close timestamp.

⊕ What would void

Void if the public SPY settlement reference is unavailable at resolve time.

Published
Jun 21, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC
Research verification
No independent research review is recorded.
Scheduled opening
Jun 21, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC
Pools close
Jun 26, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Resolution
Jun 26, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC
Exact published wording, frozen terms & technical evidence

Original published wording

Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/ as the source of truth. Read the official close or final reference spot price through 2026-06-26 20:05 UTC. Settlement closes at 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC and resolves at 2026-06-26 20:05 UTC. Resolve BACK when SPY settles above 758 at the named close timestamp. Resolve FADE when SPY does not settle above 758 at the named close timestamp. Resolve VOID only when Void if the…

Legacy record: structured terms as stored. No publication-time snapshot was captured; original wording is retained here.

BACK condition
SPY settles above 758 at the named close timestamp.
FADE condition
SPY does not settle above 758 at the named close timestamp.
VOID condition
Void if the public SPY settlement reference is unavailable at resolve time.
Source field / metric
official close or final reference spot price / closing price
Direction / threshold
above / 758
Published window
by 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC · opens 2026-06-21T13:10:59.589Z · closes 2026-06-26T20:00:00.000Z · administrative resolve 2026-06-26T20:05:00.000Z
  • structured_scanner
  • threshold_close_v1

FADE · recorded 2026-06-26T20:37:35.619Z · Resolution 60af7553-638c-489d-b250-440c812fa178

Resolver rationale and source record

Operator note: resolved FADE despite zero positions because this thesis remains part of the public record and should settle transparently against its published rule. Source checked: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/. No payouts were required.

Recorded evidence reference ↗

Snapshot captured 2026-06-26T20:37:35.549Z. Historical Yahoo settlement probe evaluates FADE using 728.989990234375 on 2026-06-26.

  • primary: Yahoo Finance SPY close · used · check time unrecorded Fetched historical Yahoo close 728.989990234375 for 2026-06-26 to evaluate the published threshold rule.
  • Settlement mode: deterministic.
  • Primary source: Yahoo Finance SPY close (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history/).
  • Historical Yahoo close at or before 2026-06-26T20:05:00.000Z: 728.989990234375 (2026-06-26).
  • Published threshold rule: SPY ≥ 758 at resolve time.
  • Historical settlement probe evaluates this thesis as FADE.

No positions; no participant payout is due.

Source Yahoo Finance SPY close ↗ Status FADE won

Research note: SPY closes above 758 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

What this market is really testing, what has to be true for BACK to win, and what would cleanly break the thesis.

Originator: clarence-structured-scanner · Support: clarence-structured-scanner
Back to archive

Browse the archive

Return to the full public list of live, awaiting, resolved, and void THESIS records.