Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLT/history/. Measure only the daily close (indicators.quote.close, not adjusted close) for the exact provider-confirmed session 2026-10-15T13:30:00.000Z to 2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z, in USD. Resolve BACK when TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price is strictly below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC. Resolve FADE when TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price does not settle below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC; equality resolves FADE. Administrative resolution starts 2026-10-15T20:30:00.000Z. No automatic VOID: unavailable, conflicting, invalid or split-affected evidence remains pending for verified observation or explicit operator review; never substitute a different session or live price. Calendar us-equities-2025-2027-v1; an unexpected exchange closure requires review, not a shifted deadline.
Frozen publication terms match the validated contract; the stored wording is retained here.
Frozen publication terms and SHA-256
{
"version": 1,
"capturedAt": "2026-10-15T12:05:20.369Z",
"sha256": "9fa84741c1fa82066b18625f4e18f69edea6d069d51a330aa5b635f0ddd61520",
"terms": {
"slug": "tlt-closes-below-78-26-usd-on-2026-10-15",
"title": "TLT closes below 78.26 USD on 2026-10-15",
"statement": "TLT's Yahoo Finance USD daily closing price for the US equity session ending 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC is strictly below 78.26.",
"falsifier": "Resolve FADE if TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price does not settle below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC; equality resolves FADE. Missing evidence is pending, not FADE or automatic VOID.",
"resolutionRule": "Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLT/history/. Measure only the daily close (indicators.quote.close, not adjusted close) for the exact provider-confirmed session 2026-10-15T13:30:00.000Z to 2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z, in USD. Resolve BACK when TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price is strictly below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC. Resolve FADE when TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price does not settle below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC; equality resolves FADE. Administrative resolution starts 2026-10-15T20:30:00.000Z. No automatic VOID: unavailable, conflicting, invalid or split-affected evidence remains pending for verified observation or explicit operator review; never substitute a different session or live price. Calendar us-equities-2025-2027-v1; an unexpected exchange closure requires review, not a shifted deadline.",
"settlementSchema": {
"version": 2,
"template": "threshold_cross",
"sourceKind": "market_data",
"sourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLT/history/",
"sourceField": "Yahoo Finance daily closing price (indicators.quote.close, USD)",
"subject": "TLT",
"metric": "closing price",
"direction": "below",
"threshold": "78.26",
"timeWindowLabel": "at 2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z",
"openAt": "2026-10-15T12:05:02.847Z",
"closeAt": "2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z",
"resolveAt": "2026-10-15T20:30:00.000Z",
"backCondition": "TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price is strictly below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC.",
"fadeCondition": "TLT's Yahoo Finance daily closing price does not settle below 78.26 USD at 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC; equality resolves FADE.",
"voidCondition": "No automatic VOID: unavailable, conflicting, invalid or split-affected evidence remains pending for verified observation or explicit operator review; never substitute a different session or live price.",
"deterministic": true,
"notes": [
"structured_scanner",
"us_equity_close_threshold_v1"
]
},
"resolutionSourceName": "Yahoo Finance historical price data",
"resolutionSourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLT/history/",
"resolutionMode": "deterministic",
"crossCheckSourceName": null,
"crossCheckSourceUrl": null,
"voidPolicy": null,
"opensAt": "2026-10-15T12:05:02.847Z",
"closesAt": "2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z",
"resolvesAt": "2026-10-15T20:30:00.000Z",
"marketTemplate": "threshold_cross",
"openingReferences": {
"snapshot": {
"sourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLT/history/",
"requestUrl": "https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/TLT?period1=1791835200&period2=1792152302&interval=1d&includePrePost=false&events=splits",
"cutoff": "2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z",
"capturedAt": "2026-10-15T12:05:02.847Z",
"responseSha256": "58dc929a6c109528db89f2a37aef6792fdab0445558d25da4cf3f915e15cc763",
"currency": "USD",
"instrumentType": "ETF",
"symbol": "TLT",
"value": 78.88999938964844,
"barStartedAt": "2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z",
"observedAt": "2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z",
"exchangeTimezone": "America/New_York",
"rawEvidence": {
"timestamp": 1791984600,
"close": 78.88999938964844,
"session": {
"start": 1791984600,
"end": 1792008000
},
"meta": {
"symbol": "TLT",
"exchangeTimezoneName": "America/New_York",
"currency": "USD",
"instrumentType": "ETF"
},
"responseSha256": "58dc929a6c109528db89f2a37aef6792fdab0445558d25da4cf3f915e15cc763",
"calendar": {
"requestUrl": "https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/TLT?period1=1791835200&period2=1792094400&interval=1h&includePrePost=false&events=splits",
"responseSha256": "cbdbb95ad5bd783d26c9ba47bee7f3e5205e5845cc953970ee4a3a0776474c8b"
}
},
"price": 78.88999938964844,
"asOf": "2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z",
"label": "TLT",
"sourceKind": "yahoo"
},
"leftSnapshot": null,
"rightSnapshot": null,
"automationContract": {
"version": 1,
"templateId": "yahoo_us_etf_close_threshold_v1",
"calendarVersion": "us-equities-2025-2027-v1",
"symbol": "TLT",
"sessionDate": "2026-10-15",
"sessionOpenAt": "2026-10-15T13:30:00.000Z",
"cutoffAt": "2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z",
"resolvesAt": "2026-10-15T20:30:00.000Z",
"provider": "yahoo",
"currency": "USD",
"field": "daily_close",
"threshold": 78.26,
"direction": "below",
"tieResult": "fade",
"missingDataPolicy": "hold_for_verified_observation",
"splitPolicy": "hold_for_review"
}
}
}
}