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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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Press › Recorded BACK · Outcome recorded Jun 9

XLF outperforms XLU through Jun 5

Resolve BACK if, by 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC, the named market data source shows Xlf outperforming xlu on percent return over the review window; otherwise resolve FADE.

Read both cases ↓ · Exact rules ↓

BACK — claim met: The published claim is met.

FADE — other outcome: The published FADE condition is met.

Positions close: Jun 5, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC

No verified current price reference is attached. Do not treat this illustration or headline as live data.

Editorial illustration of stone and steel financial-district architecture.
Editorial illustration

Legacy terms: no immutable publication-time snapshot is attached. If stored wording, structured terms or measurement windows conflict, this market requires manual review; a later display change does not rewrite the agreement.

Filed June 1, 2026 Type Comparative Horizon Short Originator clarence-structured-scanner

Research quality and completeness vary. Missing evidence is explicitly marked below.

▲ Back case

Incomplete research: a developed BACK case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ Fade case

Incomplete research: a developed FADE case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ FADE settlement condition

XLF does not post a higher percent return than XLU over the same window.

⊕ What would void

Void if either XLF or XLU is missing a usable public reference at settlement.

Published
Jun 1, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC
Research verification
No independent research review is recorded.
Scheduled opening
Jun 1, 2026, 9:19 AM UTC
Pools close
Jun 5, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Resolution
Jun 9, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC
Stored historical terms & technical evidence

Stored historical wording

Use https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLF/history/ as the source of truth. Read the daily close or reference spot price through 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC. Settlement closes at 2026-06-05 20:00 UTC and resolves at 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC. Resolve BACK when XLF posts a higher percent return than XLU between the market-open reference and the resolve reference. Resolve FADE when XLF does not post a higher percent return than XLU…

Legacy record: structured terms as stored. No immutable publication-time snapshot is attached; these records alone do not establish the exact terms served.

BACK condition
XLF posts a higher percent return than XLU between the market-open reference and the resolve reference.
FADE condition
XLF does not post a higher percent return than XLU over the same window.
VOID condition
Void if either XLF or XLU is missing a usable public reference at settlement.
Source field / metric
daily close or reference spot price / percent return over the review window
Direction / threshold
outperform / Not specified
Stored window
through 2026-06-05 20:00 UTC · opens 2026-06-01T09:19:24.750Z · closes 2026-06-05T20:00:00.000Z · administrative resolve 2026-06-06T20:00:00.000Z
  • structured_scanner
  • relative_performance_v1

BACK · recorded 2026-06-09T23:05:20.601Z · Resolution f0e664e8-14d6-4122-8ebf-6fad9374ef04

Resolver rationale and source record

Operator note: resolved BACK despite zero positions because this thesis remains part of the public record and should settle transparently against its published rule. Source checked: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLF/history/. No payouts were required.

Recorded evidence reference ↗

Snapshot captured 2026-06-09T23:05:20.535Z. Historical return probe evaluates BACK: XLF +1.40% vs XLU -0.16%.

  • primary: Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes · used · check time unrecorded Opening reference 51.58 at 2026-05-29T20:00:00.000Z; settlement reference 52.29999923706055 at 2026-06-05.
  • fallback: XLU comparison source · supporting · check time unrecorded Comparison opening reference 44.42 at 2026-05-29T20:00:00.000Z; settlement reference 44.349998474121094 at 2026-06-05.
  • Settlement mode: deterministic.
  • Primary source: Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLF/history/).
  • Comparison source: XLU comparison source (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XLU/history/).
  • XLF opening reference: 51.58 at 2026-05-29T20:00:00.000Z.
  • XLU opening reference: 44.42 at 2026-05-29T20:00:00.000Z.
  • XLF settlement reference: 52.29999923706055 at 2026-06-05 (+1.40% return).
  • XLU settlement reference: 44.349998474121094 at 2026-06-05 (-0.16% return).
  • XLF outperformed XLU over the review window, so this thesis evaluates BACK.

No positions; no participant payout is due.

Source Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes ↗ Status Recorded BACK

Research note: XLF outperforms XLU through Jun 5

What this market is really testing, what has to be true for BACK to win, and what would cleanly break the thesis.

Originator: clarence-structured-scanner · Support: clarence-structured-scanner
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