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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
The market record

Find a claim.
Follow the evidence.

Read the question, inspect its evidence, then decide whether to participate. Live claims appear first; the complete historical record stays available.

Published claims
1,155
Live claims
1
Awaiting outcomes
8
Claim outcomes
1,146

1155 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →

ETHBACK · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1800 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:41 UTC
Staked pool34.2 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 67000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:41 UTC
Staked pool28 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 85 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:40 UTC
Staked pool30.4 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
GLDBACK · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 391 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:28 UTC
Staked pool6.1K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 84 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:28 UTC
Staked pool6.1K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
GLDBACK · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 393 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:27 UTC
Staked pool6.1K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
GLDBACK · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:27 UTC
Staked pool6.1K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1850 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:26 UTC
Staked pool6.8K THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 69000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:26 UTC
Staked pool5.6K THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 68500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:26 UTC
Staked pool5.6K THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 67500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedJun 15, 2026, 20:25 UTC
Staked pool5.6K THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules