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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,137Claims with recorded outcomes
114Funded settlement batches
125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

114 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 3 of 6

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 681 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Batch reference bb6d9399-ae6b-4e3f-89dc-99d1619401c0.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 755 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:59 PM UTC. Batch reference 5902f859-934c-4ca2-b7ab-fea1f0720b39.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 678 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:58 PM UTC. Batch reference a99affb1-1c09-4cf7-92dd-919f1535ffd7.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 758 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Batch reference abbb6ab3-245a-493a-8952-1a51274b6c55.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 674 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:56 PM UTC. Batch reference 677dcaf5-9345-48e7-9d40-cba1135c81d1.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 693 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:42 PM UTC. Batch reference 987888d7-8615-4bbd-a62d-6555f23c33d9.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 765 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:41 PM UTC. Batch reference c3bb928c-f4aa-49a0-ad49-9d669133114b.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 717 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference cdc15840-96da-4dc0-a57c-a890d68f533d.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 779 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:29 PM UTC. Batch reference 74d5a3af-382d-434a-8ba3-d89a41fb1fd3.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 777 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC. Batch reference 02a813a3-77ea-4489-929e-fb385f28f084.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 708 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
2.2K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 2.2K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 2.2K THESIS.

Burn allocation 1.1K · treasury allocation 1.1K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC. Batch reference 197f7c6c-b52e-4bb1-b166-393f54775c98.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 82 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
1.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
1
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 1.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 1.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 540 · treasury allocation 540 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:26 PM UTC. Batch reference 378cf65b-2133-4aa3-b82f-422defe5a150.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 393 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
1.1K
Market credits · THESIS
1.1K
Positions settled
1
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 1.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC. Batch reference 990db35a-5479-4b15-bee6-440e0442b2a7.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 393 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 6, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC. Batch reference 032f697a-fd39-483c-89cc-b42e9c7cf386.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 6, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC. Batch reference f1193233-eba6-4c41-8fe1-96d6edae91ae.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 66000 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 6, 2026, 8:32 PM UTC. Batch reference ac1ac489-4327-4cf0-a5fa-a68508e74e34.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 82 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC. Batch reference 33df2b68-8a14-4246-93bb-45d4738800f9.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 377 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC. Batch reference dee432bf-7bc6-49f3-9286-0a0c5e9c29ed.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ETH closes above 1900 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC. Batch reference ffe3929d-a903-4824-805a-18a0fc9c9131.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 65500 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
4.9K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
4
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 4.9K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 4.9K THESIS.

Burn allocation 2.5K · treasury allocation 2.5K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 8:22 PM UTC. Batch reference e9680c6b-d723-4822-a457-122c09e7b9c3.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
447
THESIS credited to market balances
125.9K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
2.16
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.