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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,137Claims with recorded outcomes
114Funded settlement batches
125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

114 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 4 of 6

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ARKK outperforms QQQ through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance ARKK and QQQ closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:27 AM UTC. Batch reference 70543b78-65c2-449f-a172-5895a5509f71.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 757 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC. Batch reference 39c43e75-a0b4-4747-8b5d-e0b8dbfcec61.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ETH closes above 1800 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
34.2
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 34.2 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 34.2 THESIS.

Burn allocation 17.1 · treasury allocation 17.1 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:25 AM UTC. Batch reference dbc6283b-8ae2-4dab-9818-81ac9faca21a.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 67000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:24 AM UTC. Batch reference 78c70df3-de38-4b6e-9451-0dc3a06b6383.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 85 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC. Batch reference 5bca6f55-0437-4d7c-b8bd-c0d5dc444aa3.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 391 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:22 AM UTC. Batch reference 75e20259-1443-4ebd-8ed6-1ca1f1944545.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 84 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:14 AM UTC. Batch reference bd62e4c9-368c-4f0c-9c12-fdd8a2ba318f.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 393 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:13 AM UTC. Batch reference 366f8b23-be49-47d3-9d3d-3f15b2d5f438.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:12 AM UTC. Batch reference b97914f6-cda3-4f57-8089-3d871b03c547.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 1850 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.8K
Market credits · THESIS
6.8K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.8K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:11 AM UTC. Batch reference faf2cb56-212f-480f-8a77-437c0c5f0c6e.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 69000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.6K
Market credits · THESIS
5.6K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.6K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:10 AM UTC. Batch reference 1ee34358-477c-4b21-a002-de819ab8561a.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 68500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.6K
Market credits · THESIS
5.6K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.6K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:09 AM UTC. Batch reference 2c308073-f0a2-4ecd-8feb-f5b48601d3f6.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 67500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.6K
Market credits · THESIS
5.6K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.6K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC. Batch reference 0c8d80bb-7eb3-4550-9984-2074fda0f51a.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

BTC closes above 66500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:07 AM UTC. Batch reference 11032c51-01d0-4bfb-b881-6410042ec641.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY outperforms TLT through May 29

Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
28.5
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28.5 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC. Batch reference c1ed1fcf-dcbe-47e1-8c98-aa49cddc9eb9.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

QQQ outperforms IWM through May 29

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
28.5
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28.5 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:57 PM UTC. Batch reference 15eb3e8c-638e-4032-8345-428b726a906d.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD outperforms SLV through May 29

Yahoo Finance GLD and SLV closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
28.5
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28.5 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC. Batch reference 25b6a997-f72c-4a99-98f0-6e9df3067fd5.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

DIA outperforms IWM through May 29

Yahoo Finance DIA and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 28.5 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 28.5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 14.3 · treasury allocation 14.3 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:55 PM UTC. Batch reference e55a3525-9233-4f89-bdc8-089f71893285.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SOL outperforms ETH through May 29

Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 28.5 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 28.5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 14.3 · treasury allocation 14.3 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:54 PM UTC. Batch reference 351c8837-bb06-4f76-9e3f-f591cb0751f5.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ARKK outperforms QQQ through May 29

Yahoo Finance ARKK and QQQ closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
28.5
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28.5 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC. Batch reference b88e25b3-7d6e-4737-8da8-67dac135da54.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
447
THESIS credited to market balances
125.9K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
2.16
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.