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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗

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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record

1,137Claims with recorded outcomes

114Funded settlement batches

125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake

Browse the record

How to read a receipt

1,023 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 24 of 52

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 696 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 740 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 692 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 744 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:22 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

QQQ closes below 717 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:21 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 748 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 754 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

QQQ closes below 718 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 753 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:10 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 705 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 84 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 381 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 752 by Jul 3 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Jul 3, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 85 by Jul 2 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Jul 2, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 374 by Jul 2 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded Jul 2, 2026, 8:10 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 85 by Jul 1 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Jul 1, 2026, 8:18 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 371 by Jul 1 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded Jul 1, 2026, 8:17 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Jun 29, 2026, 8:10 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 377 by Jun 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded Jun 29, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 28 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Jun 28, 2026, 8:17 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations

Claims with recorded outcomes

Funded settlement batches

Positions settled in those batches

447

THESIS credited to market balances

125.9K

Percentage fee allocations · THESIS

2.16

No-winning-position allocations · THESIS

145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.