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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗

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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record

1,149Claims with recorded outcomes

126Funded settlement batches

126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake

Browse the record

How to read a receipt

1,149 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 14 of 58

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 716 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS: 6.1K
Market credits · THESIS: 0
Positions settled: 5

Credit & fee breakdown

Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC. Batch reference 70af523d-0295-451b-a858-398d4fa7865f.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 712 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:43 PM UTC

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS: 6.1K
Market credits · THESIS: 0
Positions settled: 5

Credit & fee breakdown

Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 PM UTC. Batch reference d24cc4cd-276a-4721-8a4c-8bebd9c26f68.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 781 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:42 PM UTC

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS: 2.2K
Market credits · THESIS: 0
Positions settled: 2

Credit & fee breakdown

Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 2.2K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 2.2K THESIS.

Burn allocation 1.1K · treasury allocation 1.1K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC. Batch reference 2eac4368-6d50-45fd-acd5-e017b13e9dc2.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 709 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:41 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 785 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 714 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 788 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 711 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 778 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:29 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 713 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 725 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:26 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 82 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 402 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 786 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:22 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 1900 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:21 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 64000 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:19 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 81 by Aug 13 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded Aug 13, 2026, 8:17 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 408 by Aug 13 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded Aug 13, 2026, 8:16 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 13 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded Aug 13, 2026, 8:14 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 65000 by Aug 13 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded Aug 13, 2026, 8:13 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations

Claims with recorded outcomes

Funded settlement batches

Positions settled in those batches

471

THESIS credited to market balances

126K

Percentage fee allocations · THESIS

3.24

No-winning-position allocations · THESIS

145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.