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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,150Claims with recorded outcomes
127Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,150 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 16 of 58

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

QQQ outperforms IWM through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC. Batch reference d8b7347c-4a8e-42ea-9edc-c1203fd1e898.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY outperforms TLT through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC. Batch reference afd188d8-b63a-41cd-bdbb-938ca158bb6c.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

DIA outperforms IWM through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance DIA and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 5.7K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 5.7K THESIS.

Burn allocation 2.9K · treasury allocation 2.9K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC. Batch reference a93d5247-bffc-4372-be16-d3c9571fa9b5.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SOL outperforms ETH through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC. Batch reference e83a05cc-a598-4907-b33a-a4ea9c56e03c.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

NVDA outperforms AMD through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
4.4K
Market credits · THESIS
4.4K
Positions settled
4
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.4K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC. Batch reference 2d114926-8297-4ef3-98b2-bed39bff989f.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD outperforms SLV through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance GLD and SLV closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
3.2K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
3
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 3.2K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 3.2K THESIS.

Burn allocation 1.6K · treasury allocation 1.6K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC. Batch reference 258df241-4fae-4a59-b27a-08e1e2cdff35.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

BTC outperforms ETH through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
2.1K
Market credits · THESIS
2.1K
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 2.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:32 PM UTC. Batch reference a10379e3-3d4b-4669-b0de-c102509ed75f.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 681 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Batch reference bb6d9399-ae6b-4e3f-89dc-99d1619401c0.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 755 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:59 PM UTC. Batch reference 5902f859-934c-4ca2-b7ab-fea1f0720b39.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 678 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:58 PM UTC. Batch reference a99affb1-1c09-4cf7-92dd-919f1535ffd7.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 758 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Batch reference abbb6ab3-245a-493a-8952-1a51274b6c55.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 674 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:56 PM UTC. Batch reference 677dcaf5-9345-48e7-9d40-cba1135c81d1.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 693 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:42 PM UTC. Batch reference 987888d7-8615-4bbd-a62d-6555f23c33d9.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 765 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
6.1K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 6.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:41 PM UTC. Batch reference c3bb928c-f4aa-49a0-ad49-9d669133114b.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 717 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference cdc15840-96da-4dc0-a57c-a890d68f533d.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 779 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:29 PM UTC. Batch reference 74d5a3af-382d-434a-8ba3-d89a41fb1fd3.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 777 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC. Batch reference 02a813a3-77ea-4489-929e-fb385f28f084.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 708 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
2.2K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 2.2K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 2.2K THESIS.

Burn allocation 1.1K · treasury allocation 1.1K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC. Batch reference 197f7c6c-b52e-4bb1-b166-393f54775c98.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 82 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
1.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
1
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 1.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 1.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 540 · treasury allocation 540 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:26 PM UTC. Batch reference 378cf65b-2133-4aa3-b82f-422defe5a150.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 393 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
1.1K
Market credits · THESIS
1.1K
Positions settled
1
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 1.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 7, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC. Batch reference 990db35a-5479-4b15-bee6-440e0442b2a7.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
1150
Funded settlement batches
127
Positions settled in those batches
473
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.39
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.