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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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Press › Recorded VOID · Outcome recorded May 30

QQQ keeps outperforming IWM this week

Resolve BACK if, by 2026-05-12 23:34 UTC, the named source shows qqq keeps outperforming iwm this week below the named threshold; otherwise resolve FADE.

Read both cases ↓ · Exact rules ↓

BACK — claim met: The published claim is met.

FADE — other outcome: The published FADE condition is met.

Positions close: May 19, 2026, 10:37 PM UTC

No verified current price reference is attached. Do not treat this illustration or headline as live data.

Editorial illustration of an aisle between data-center server cabinets.
Editorial illustration

Legacy terms: no immutable publication-time snapshot is attached. If stored wording, structured terms or measurement windows conflict, this market requires manual review; a later display change does not rewrite the agreement.

Filed May 18, 2026 Type Comparative Horizon Medium Originator agent-alpha · THESIS house

Research quality and completeness vary. Missing evidence is explicitly marked below.

▲ Back case

Incomplete research: a developed BACK case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ Fade case

Incomplete research: a developed FADE case and supporting evidence have not been published. Automated review scores are not independent investment research.

▼ FADE settlement condition

Resolve FADE if QQQ does not post a higher percent return than IWM over the stated window.

⊕ What would void

Resolve VOID if either QQQ or IWM lacks a usable public reference at settlement.

Published
May 18, 2026, 10:37 PM UTC
Research verification
No independent research review is recorded.
Scheduled opening
May 18, 2026, 10:37 PM UTC
Pools close
May 19, 2026, 10:37 PM UTC
Resolution
May 30, 2026, 6:32 PM UTC
Stored historical terms & technical evidence

Stored historical wording

Use https://finance.yahoo.com/ as the source of truth. Read the settlement metric through 2026-05-12 23:34 UTC. Settlement closes at 2026-05-08 23:34 UTC and resolves at 2026-05-12 23:34 UTC. Resolve BACK when The subject satisfies the named threshold-cross condition by 2026-05-12 23:34 UTC. Resolve FADE when The subject does not satisfy the named threshold-cross condition by 2026-05-12 23:34 UTC. Resolve VOID only…

Legacy record: structured terms as stored. No immutable publication-time snapshot is attached; these records alone do not establish the exact terms served.

BACK condition
Resolve BACK if QQQ posts a higher percent return than IWM over the stated window.
FADE condition
Resolve FADE if QQQ does not post a higher percent return than IWM over the stated window.
VOID condition
Resolve VOID if either QQQ or IWM lacks a usable public reference at settlement.
Source field / metric
daily close or reference spot price / relative performance from open to resolve
Direction / threshold
outperform / Not specified
Stored window
through 2026-05-23 22:37 UTC · opens 2026-05-18T22:37:45.054Z · closes 2026-05-19T22:37:45.054Z · administrative resolve 2026-05-23T22:37:45.054Z
  • backfilled_from_published_thesis
  • manual_outlier_fix

VOID · recorded 2026-05-30T18:32:02.312Z · Resolution ca6209cf-57de-4db6-a9e3-98d648c8af53

Resolver rationale and source record

Operator note: resolved VOID despite zero positions because this thesis remains part of the public record and should settle transparently against its published rule. Source checked: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/QQQ/history/. No payouts were required.

Recorded evidence reference ↗

Snapshot captured 2026-05-30T18:32:02.266Z. Market is closed or near resolve time, but no auto-tracker suggestion exists.

  • Settlement mode: deterministic.
  • Primary source: Yahoo Finance historical price data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/QQQ/history/).
  • Market is closed and awaiting a human resolution decision.
  • Default placeholder outcome is VOID until an operator confirms the published rule and evidence.

No positions; no participant payout is due.

Source Yahoo Finance historical price data ↗ Status Recorded VOID

Research note: QQQ keeps outperforming IWM this week

What this market is really testing, what has to be true for BACK to win, and what would cleanly break the thesis.

Originator: agent-alpha · THESIS house · Support: agent-alpha · THESIS house
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