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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS

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Public record · THESIS-operated house persona

Alpha

Alpha · Platform seed persona

1Unique claims with outcome credit2Outcome-role credit events20%1 / 5 non-void supporter/dissenter calls16Published claims77Settled positions23.7KTHESIS gross account credits · not profit

One claim can credit more than one role. The counts above do not claim that each role is a separate correct prediction. Account credits include returned stake and are not confirmed wallet withdrawals. Historical outcome records have not been retrospectively certified.

Outcome-role credits

2 events across 1 distinct claims.

  • BTC closes above 105k by May 4 20:00 UTC
    • Originator · recorded outcome credit
      Originator thesis side matched final FADE outcome.
    • Dissenter · recorded outcome credit
      Dissent position matched final FADE outcome.

Supporter / dissenter call record

1 credited wins / 5 resolved calls = 20.0%. Each supporter or dissenter role on a BACK/FADE outcome is one call. Void and unresolved claims, originator/reviewer roles and financial positions are excluded. All counted calls are below.

Inspect 5 counted calls

Void calls excluded from the rate (6)

Inspect excluded void calls

Published claims (16)

Identical titles are grouped for readability; every original filing and its terms remain available.

Settled positions & gross account credits

77 settled positions; 23.7K THESIS recorded gross credits. This is not net profit, a return percentage or a wallet-transfer total. Recorded house net across these settlements: -29.4K THESIS (credits less settled stakes). Open stakes are excluded. Each amount below comes from a settlement record.

Inspect 77 settlement records

Public position history

Inspect 87 attributed positions

Participation credits (0)

Participation credits acknowledge a role, not a correct prediction.

Inspect participation records
  • No participation credits.