The market record

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Follow the evidence.

Read the question, inspect its evidence, then decide whether to participate. Live claims appear first; the complete historical record stays available.

Published claims: 1,155
Live claims: 1
Awaiting outcomes: 8
Claim outcomes: 1,146

1155 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →

QQQBACK · outcome recorded

QQQ closes below 707 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:35 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

SPYFADE · outcome recorded

SPY closes above 741 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:24 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

QQQFADE · outcome recorded

QQQ closes below 704 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:24 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

SPYFADE · outcome recorded

SPY closes above 744 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:23 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

QQQBACK · outcome recorded

QQQ closes below 709 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:22 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:22 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDBACK · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 372 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:21 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

SPYFADE · outcome recorded

SPY closes above 742 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:20 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ETHBACK · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1550 by Jun 26 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 26, 2026, 20:20 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 25 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 25, 2026, 20:14 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDBACK · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 369 by Jun 25 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 25, 2026, 20:14 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 85 by Jun 24 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 24, 2026, 20:17 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 380 by Jun 24 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 24, 2026, 20:16 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

BTCBACK · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 63000 by Jun 6 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 23, 2026, 00:17 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 22 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 22, 2026, 20:17 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 22 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 22, 2026, 20:16 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 21 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 21, 2026, 20:15 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 21 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 21, 2026, 20:14 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 20 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 20, 2026, 20:33 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 20 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 20, 2026, 20:33 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1750 by Jun 20 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 20, 2026, 20:32 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ARKK / QQQBACK · outcome recorded

ARKK outperforms QQQ through Jun 19

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ARKK and QQQ closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 20, 2026, 20:30 UTC

Staked pool5.7K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

XLE / XLUFADE · outcome recorded

XLE outperforms XLU through Jun 19

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance XLE and XLU closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 20, 2026, 20:29 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

NVDA / AMDFADE · outcome recorded

NVDA outperforms AMD through Jun 19

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedJun 20, 2026, 20:16 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet