Skip to content
Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
0 markets live 0 close in 24h 8 awaiting resolution New here? Start with the guide →
The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,137Claims with recorded outcomes
114Funded settlement batches
125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

114 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 5 of 6

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

XLE outperforms XLU through May 29

Yahoo Finance XLE and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 28.5 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 28.5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 14.3 · treasury allocation 14.3 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC. Batch reference 926bf805-ecb6-40a9-9a0b-9a3574350a4e.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

XLF outperforms XLU through May 29

Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
28.5
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28.5 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:52 PM UTC. Batch reference d23763e6-6bd9-45c1-a1e9-483252f0c1d0.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

NVDA outperforms AMD through May 29

Yahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 28.5 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 28.5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 14.3 · treasury allocation 14.3 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:44 PM UTC. Batch reference 23d23d04-df9d-4b21-8405-16c48e9db12d.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY closes above 753 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
30.4
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 30.4 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:43 PM UTC. Batch reference 612b4561-8829-46de-8c42-9485a7c8a239.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 703 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:42 PM UTC. Batch reference 3b783abc-be2a-4574-aaa1-3cc64f61dbc2.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 761 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC. Batch reference 5dc4b24d-f33b-4c35-98db-d14d782f75dc.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 710 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC. Batch reference 00fc0db3-a338-40b5-89e8-9d4fd923e5dd.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC outperforms ETH through May 29

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
28.5
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 28.5 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 28.5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 14.3 · treasury allocation 14.3 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC. Batch reference b2a5f55a-6763-4619-ad38-d2dd44951ff2.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 707 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC. Batch reference ce8316a7-124d-4986-a2cf-0397f89d98ad.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 757 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC. Batch reference be1dcff6-8c07-42d0-9c7d-27ef9d685fcc.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ETH closes above 2050 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
30.4
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 30.4 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 498cbbff-395f-4f51-bf2d-a601ea3cbd2f.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

BTC closes above 76000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
30.4
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 30.4 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 9c5205fe-2f70-4c28-aa08-d575060c42bb.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

BTC closes above 76500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
30.4
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 30.4 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 935684bc-c48a-4aa4-a9d3-b297fed0077d.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 78500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 0ac17845-9f2d-4a86-9c87-57271ecc5a28.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 79500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference b85bf26c-a8ff-47c1-9303-f11415dab550.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 79000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 09f8e3ed-77b4-4989-891e-c4f5f3bf792c.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 2150 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 6cfe4c3a-ca9c-4801-9cbe-afa88f658d85.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 2200 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
34.2
Market credits · THESIS
34.2
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 34.2 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:22 PM UTC. Batch reference aa7bb83b-f11f-4d05-8560-50df8c5bbd68.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 78000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC. Batch reference 3c41830e-ba8f-4a03-9ea4-a8b845637343.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 77000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:19 PM UTC. Batch reference fea2dc36-1d40-4d88-a742-5bb1cc439be5.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
447
THESIS credited to market balances
125.9K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
2.16
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.