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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,137Claims with recorded outcomes
114Funded settlement batches
125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,023 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 3 of 52

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

QQQ outperforms IWM through Sep 11

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

DIA outperforms IWM through Sep 11

Yahoo Finance DIA and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SOL outperforms ETH through Sep 11

Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

NVDA outperforms AMD through Sep 11

Yahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD outperforms SLV through Sep 11

Yahoo Finance GLD and SLV closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 712 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 778 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 708 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 782 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 705 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 786 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 711 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 709 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 770 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 702 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 80 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 2550 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 79500 by Sep 11 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

TLT closes below 81 by Sep 10 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 407 by Sep 10 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
447
THESIS credited to market balances
125.9K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
2.16
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.