The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record

1,138Claims with recorded outcomes

115Funded settlement batches

125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake

Browse the record

How to read a receipt

1,023 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 45 of 52

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Analyze OpenAI Monetization Thesis Strength Versus Market Sentiment

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Model Market Volatility Responses To High-Impact Political Events

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Identify Asset Price Tops Using Narrative Exhaustion Signals

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis

ALIVE bench evidence reviewOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ keeps outperforming IWM this week

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:32 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY outperforms TLT through May 9

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:31 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

XLF outperforms XLU through May 9

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded May 30, 2026, 6:31 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 715 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 6:18 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 760 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 5:48 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 763 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 710 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 4:18 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 713 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 714 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC closes above 78000 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 3:18 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 762 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 712 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded May 24, 2026, 2:18 PM UTC

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations

Claims with recorded outcomes

1138

Funded settlement batches

115

Positions settled in those batches

449

THESIS credited to market balances

125.9K

Percentage fee allocations · THESIS

2.31

No-winning-position allocations · THESIS

145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.

Three stages. Different meanings.

Outcome

Market credit

Withdrawal

Three stages.
Different meanings.