Skip to content
Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
1 markets live 1 close in 24h 8 awaiting resolution New here? Start with the guide →
The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,138Claims with recorded outcomes
115Funded settlement batches
125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,023 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 51 of 52

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

ETH closes above 2150 by May 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC closes above 79500 by May 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

ETH closes above 2200 by May 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC closes above 80000 by May 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC closes above 83500 by May 12 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

ETH closes above 2350 by May 12 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 748 by May 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 694 by May 15 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY outperforms TLT through May 15

Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ outperforms IWM through May 15

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

XLF outperforms XLU through May 15

Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC outperforms ETH through May 15

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SOL outperforms ETH through May 15

Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

XLF outperforms XLU through May 9

Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

SPY outperforms XLF through May 9

Yahoo Finance SPY and XLF closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

ETH outperforms BTC by May 10

Binance ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT spot pricesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

SPY outperforms TLT through May 9

Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

QQQ keeps outperforming IWM this week

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM daily closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

TSLA outperforms QQQ through May 8

Yahoo Finance TSLA and QQQ closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC realizes less upside volatility than ETH through May 10

Binance BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT spot pricesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
449
THESIS credited to market balances
125.9K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
2.31
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.