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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,150Claims with recorded outcomes
127Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,150 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 51 of 58

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 2150 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 6cfe4c3a-ca9c-4801-9cbe-afa88f658d85.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 2200 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
34.2
Market credits · THESIS
34.2
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 34.2 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:22 PM UTC. Batch reference aa7bb83b-f11f-4d05-8560-50df8c5bbd68.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 78000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
28
Market credits · THESIS
28
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 28 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC. Batch reference 3c41830e-ba8f-4a03-9ea4-a8b845637343.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 77000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:19 PM UTC. Batch reference fea2dc36-1d40-4d88-a742-5bb1cc439be5.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ETH closes above 2100 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: BACK; account batch: BACK. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
30.4
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 30.4 / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:17 PM UTC. Batch reference 947606ae-1a05-46a5-a053-b308ce0c801f.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 77500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Batch reference 87631c23-1b22-4465-888e-ac737e1375b4.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 77000 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Batch reference 82831221-45ab-45bc-b92c-01a49faab25b.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 2100 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Batch reference 72e4d1b5-4fd7-46d4-87d4-fdf3ca2a41d9.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

BTC closes above 77500 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Historical outcome conflict. Outcome records need review. Claim status: VOID / VOID; resolution: FADE; account batch: FADE. These records do not agree. No correction, refund or new payment is implied.

Pool · THESIS
30.4
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 30.4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 30.4 THESIS.

Burn allocation 15.2 · treasury allocation 15.2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 4, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Batch reference c4d8bbfb-03d2-477c-a593-6b1c90ef5141.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 715 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 760 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 763 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 710 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 713 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 714 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

BTC closes above 78000 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 762 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 712 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

QQQ closes below 711 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID

SPY closes above 761 by May 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
1150
Funded settlement batches
127
Positions settled in those batches
473
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.39
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.