Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
ETH closes above 2200 by May 19 20:00 UTC
Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
The public record
Outcomes & credits.
Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.
Across the
public record
public record
1,150Claims with recorded outcomes
127Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt 1,150 claim records · Newest outcome first
Page 57 of 58
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
BTC closes above 80000 by May 19 20:00 UTC
Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
BTC closes above 83500 by May 12 20:00 UTC
Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
ETH closes above 2350 by May 12 20:00 UTC
Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
SPY closes above 748 by May 15 20:00 UTC
Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
QQQ closes below 694 by May 15 20:00 UTC
Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
SPY outperforms TLT through May 15
Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
QQQ outperforms IWM through May 15
Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
XLF outperforms XLU through May 15
Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
BTC outperforms ETH through May 15
Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
SOL outperforms ETH through May 15
Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded BACK
XLF outperforms XLU through May 9
Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded BACK
SPY outperforms XLF through May 9
Yahoo Finance SPY and XLF closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE
BTC realizes less upside volatility than ETH through May 10
Binance BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT spot pricesOutcome recorded
Positions settled — no winning credits
- Pool · THESIS
- 4
- Market credits · THESIS
- 0
- Positions settled
- 1
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions
No-winning-position allocation: 4 THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.
Winning pool 0 / losing pool 4 THESIS.
Burn allocation 2 · treasury allocation 2 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.
Account batch recorded May 12, 2026, 9:14 AM UTC. Batch reference d3007fa5-621e-4507-9e6e-1445dc80c4d4.
Claim outcomeRecorded FADE
ETH outperforms BTC by May 10
Binance ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT spot pricesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded BACK
SPY outperforms TLT through May 9
Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded BACK
QQQ keeps outperforming IWM this week
Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM daily closeOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Claim outcomeRecorded BACK
TSLA outperforms QQQ through May 8
Yahoo Finance TSLA and QQQ closesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK
WTI stays above 80 into next Friday
TradingView / exchange settlement for front-month WTI crudeOutcome recorded
Market balance credits recorded
- Pool · THESIS
- 18
- Market credits · THESIS
- 18
- Positions settled
- 3
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side
100.05 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.
Percentage fee allocation: 0.00 THESIS.
Winning pool 18 / losing pool 0.01 THESIS.
Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.
Account batch recorded May 9, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC. Batch reference d169b328-a502-4370-a646-ecd8c06b8f99.
Claim outcomeRecorded VOID
BTC realizes less upside volatility than ETH through May 10
Binance BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT spot pricesOutcome recorded
Outcome only · no positions to credit
This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.
Reading the record
Three stages.
Different meanings.
Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.
01
Outcome
The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.
02
Market credit
A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.
03
Withdrawal
A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.
Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
473
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.39
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K
One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.
Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.
Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.