The market record

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Follow the evidence.

Read the question, inspect its evidence, then decide whether to participate. Live claims appear first; the complete historical record stays available.

Published claims: 1,154
Live claims: 0
Awaiting outcomes: 8
Claim outcomes: 1,146

1154 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →

BTCBACK · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 66000 by Aug 19 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 19, 2026, 20:20 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 80 by Aug 18 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 18, 2026, 20:10 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 409 by Aug 18 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 18, 2026, 20:08 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 81 by Aug 17 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 17, 2026, 20:20 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDBACK · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 405 by Aug 17 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 17, 2026, 20:18 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 17 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 17, 2026, 20:16 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 64500 by Aug 17 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 17, 2026, 20:14 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 81 by Aug 16 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 16, 2026, 20:14 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 405 by Aug 16 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 16, 2026, 20:13 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1900 by Aug 16 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 16, 2026, 20:12 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 64000 by Aug 16 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 16, 2026, 20:11 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

TLTFADE · outcome recorded

TLT closes below 81 by Aug 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TLT close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:24 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

GLDFADE · outcome recorded

GLD closes above 405 by Aug 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:23 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:22 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 64500 by Aug 15 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:21 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

XLF / XLUFADE · outcome recorded

XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:20 UTC

Staked pool5.7K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

QQQ / IWMFADE · outcome recorded

QQQ outperforms IWM through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:18 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

SPY / TLTBACK · outcome recorded

SPY outperforms TLT through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY and TLT closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:11 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

DIA / IWMFADE · outcome recorded

DIA outperforms IWM through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance DIA and IWM closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:10 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

SOL / ETHFADE · outcome recorded

SOL outperforms ETH through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:09 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

BTC / ETHFADE · outcome recorded

BTC outperforms ETH through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:08 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

XLE / XLUBACK · outcome recorded

XLE outperforms XLU through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance XLE and XLU closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:07 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

NVDA / AMDFADE · outcome recorded

NVDA outperforms AMD through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:06 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

ARKK / QQQFADE · outcome recorded

ARKK outperforms QQQ through Aug 14

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ARKK and QQQ closes

Historical / unverified research

Outcome recordedAug 15, 2026, 20:05 UTC

Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet