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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
The market record

Find a claim.
Follow the evidence.

Read the question, inspect its evidence, then decide whether to participate. Live claims appear first; the complete historical record stays available.

Published claims
1,154
Live claims
0
Awaiting outcomes
8
Claim outcomes
1,146

1154 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →

QQQFADE · outcome recorded

QQQ closes below 716 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedAug 14, 2026, 20:45 UTC
Staked pool6.1K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
QQQFADE · outcome recorded

QQQ closes below 712 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedAug 14, 2026, 20:43 UTC
Staked pool6.1K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules
SPYFADE · outcome recorded

SPY closes above 781 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedAug 14, 2026, 20:42 UTC
Staked pool2.2K THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

Read outcome & evidence Rules