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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,149Claims with recorded outcomes
126Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,149 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 1 of 58

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 672.56 USD on 2026-11-10

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.26 / losing pool 0.26 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 10, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC. Batch reference 9ee45e06-5f27-4f34-8fe6-9bf02168a75b.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 375.5 USD on 2026-11-09

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 9, 2026, 9:44 PM UTC. Batch reference fc5e82aa-0252-4ea7-9bf1-36ef7c7210d0.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 81.27 USD on 2026-11-06

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.84
Market credits · THESIS
9.69
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.92 / losing pool 4.92 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 6, 2026, 9:42 PM UTC. Batch reference d1e79913-46de-415e-842e-196794e7e62f.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 774.48 USD on 2026-11-05

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.52
Market credits · THESIS
0.51
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.26 / losing pool 0.26 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 5, 2026, 9:39 PM UTC. Batch reference 62649c68-d919-48e7-bf0b-b33efed50749.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 678.43 USD on 2026-11-04

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.94
Market credits · THESIS
9.79
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.97 / losing pool 4.97 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 4, 2026, 9:37 PM UTC. Batch reference 8b7145f6-8a6b-404f-abf9-dea24f4990e4.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 364.54 USD on 2026-11-03

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.26 / losing pool 0.26 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 3, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC. Batch reference 435b0ab0-1973-4847-8032-a3a47ac31189.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 81.19 USD on 2026-11-02

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Nov 2, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC. Batch reference e44e5af2-c598-466c-b77c-b9820974fe74.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 777.05 USD on 2026-10-30

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.84
Market credits · THESIS
9.70
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.92 / losing pool 4.92 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 30, 2026, 8:44 PM UTC. Batch reference 807432a4-9578-4d43-83ff-543dbbed8a65.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

QQQ closes below 718.35 USD on 2026-10-29

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 29, 2026, 8:43 PM UTC. Batch reference 777e4885-ae3e-46d8-823d-ffd87624295b.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 375.26 USD on 2026-10-28

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.94
Market credits · THESIS
9.79
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.97 / losing pool 4.97 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 28, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference 0fc7e936-1f11-44e5-9dc2-28aa4c21fad0.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 81.03 USD on 2026-10-27

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.54
Market credits · THESIS
0.53
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 27, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC. Batch reference a9c6eaaf-5ba0-414d-9222-bee01350f696.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 767.57 USD on 2026-10-26

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 26, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC. Batch reference f3bf8434-65de-4fcf-a535-dcb5814d1558.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 697.43 USD on 2026-10-23

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.85
Market credits · THESIS
9.70
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.92 / losing pool 4.92 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 23, 2026, 8:47 PM UTC. Batch reference 647f1254-790a-4a4e-9a23-a475c21992f7.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 381.98 USD on 2026-10-22

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 22, 2026, 8:44 PM UTC. Batch reference d528851f-0c52-4fa3-8787-2383fe40b152.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 79.49 USD on 2026-10-21

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.95
Market credits · THESIS
9.80
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.97 / losing pool 4.97 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 21, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference ffdd2d0f-1558-44de-9c7b-a5a3bca2fed2.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 774.14 USD on 2026-10-20

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.54
Market credits · THESIS
0.53
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 20, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC. Batch reference a2ca23af-57a9-4f1c-aa3f-b549aa8f32b4.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 702.7 USD on 2026-10-19

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 19, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC. Batch reference 8c53e6ce-9c35-4f32-946e-2649cdf60f0e.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 385.77 USD on 2026-10-16

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.85
Market credits · THESIS
9.70
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.93 / losing pool 4.93 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 16, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC. Batch reference 6281e1a1-32fb-42d6-811a-ac99e37393e0.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 78.26 USD on 2026-10-15

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 15, 2026, 8:41 PM UTC. Batch reference a1ef59e6-6116-431e-94f8-abeba83aa7a7.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 785.79 USD on 2026-10-14

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.95
Market credits · THESIS
9.80
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.98 / losing pool 4.98 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 14, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC. Batch reference 31467383-3a21-4058-86dc-9cd87c8885f7.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
471
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.24
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.