Skip to content
Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
0 markets live 0 close in 24h 8 awaiting resolution New here? Start with the guide →
The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,149Claims with recorded outcomes
126Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,149 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 2 of 58

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 738.58 USD on 2026-10-13

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.54
Market credits · THESIS
0.53
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 13, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC. Batch reference 29bcdf77-b588-46d6-9564-83560c6c1fdf.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 387.66 USD on 2026-10-12

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 12, 2026, 8:41 PM UTC. Batch reference 8353027d-420c-4deb-8b4b-3a0c068413e5.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 77.25 USD on 2026-10-09

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.85
Market credits · THESIS
9.71
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.93 / losing pool 4.93 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 9, 2026, 8:43 PM UTC. Batch reference 6ee5154c-49d2-46a8-bff2-c3e3db783273.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 784.99 USD on 2026-10-08

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 8, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC. Batch reference cefc9049-e520-44f1-82f4-7d0299474c14.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 752.06 USD on 2026-10-07

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.95
Market credits · THESIS
9.80
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.98 / losing pool 4.98 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 7, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC. Batch reference 84e999ac-d631-4cbd-a112-012a57370818.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 382.59 USD on 2026-10-06

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.54
Market credits · THESIS
0.53
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 6, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC. Batch reference f0be1e38-0ec2-4fff-bf67-d076944ed762.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 76.86 USD on 2026-10-05

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 5, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference 358ab13a-9277-4686-8b4d-39ae72a218c1.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 771.63 USD on 2026-10-02

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.86
Market credits · THESIS
9.71
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.93 / losing pool 4.93 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 2, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC. Batch reference 8fbe2176-c913-41ed-8109-5455718d81ec.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 732.37 USD on 2026-10-01

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Oct 1, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC. Batch reference 8b8a49a9-d734-4c47-a7f1-cccdca119751.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 385.95 USD on 2026-09-30

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.96
Market credits · THESIS
9.81
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.98 / losing pool 4.98 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 30, 2026, 8:32 PM UTC. Batch reference c908feb4-ca87-4421-b8c6-118a95d82dec.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 77.99 USD on 2026-09-29

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.54
Market credits · THESIS
0.53
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 29, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC. Batch reference 6f0270ef-b54e-49ed-a025-9e93298dfcf1.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 779.06 USD on 2026-09-28

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
10
Market credits · THESIS
9.85
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 5 / losing pool 5 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 28, 2026, 8:43 PM UTC. Batch reference 23330830-508f-4083-8064-9932deca060d.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 394.82 USD on 2026-09-25

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference d8830b05-8e9a-44c5-80a0-9eb6810cfebf.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 733.69 USD on 2026-09-25

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.86
Market credits · THESIS
9.71
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.93 / losing pool 4.93 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference 18c05eda-085b-45d7-b53d-e08c78d5082e.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 80.6 USD on 2026-09-21

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.96
Market credits · THESIS
9.81
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.98 / losing pool 4.98 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 24, 2026, 10:42 PM UTC. Batch reference 0104681c-a7db-44d6-8b47-9adc2e2dbe74.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 708 by Sep 18 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 772 by Sep 18 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 704 by Sep 18 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 776 by Sep 18 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 701 by Sep 18 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Read original claim Recorded evidence
Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
1149
Funded settlement batches
126
Positions settled in those batches
471
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.24
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.