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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,150Claims with recorded outcomes
127Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,150 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 31 of 58

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

QQQ outperforms IWM through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY outperforms TLT through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 750 by Jun 12 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 710 by Jun 12 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 757 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC. Batch reference 39c43e75-a0b4-4747-8b5d-e0b8dbfcec61.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 707 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 753 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 711 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 714 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 749 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 737 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 762 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 723 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 758 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 715 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 748 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 733 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 754 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
473
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.39
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.