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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,150Claims with recorded outcomes
127Funded settlement batches
126KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

1,150 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 30 of 58

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 25 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

GLD closes above 369 by Jun 25 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 85 by Jun 24 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 380 by Jun 24 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

BTC closes above 63000 by Jun 6 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 22 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 21 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 21 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 86 by Jun 20 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 390 by Jun 20 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 1750 by Jun 20 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

ARKK outperforms QQQ through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance ARKK and QQQ closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 5, 2026, 12:27 AM UTC. Batch reference 70543b78-65c2-449f-a172-5895a5509f71.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

XLE outperforms XLU through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance XLE and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

NVDA outperforms AMD through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

GLD outperforms SLV through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance GLD and SLV closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

DIA outperforms IWM through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance DIA and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded BACK

SOL outperforms ETH through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

BTC outperforms ETH through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Claim outcomeRecorded FADE

XLF outperforms XLU through Jun 19

Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Outcome only · no positions to credit

This claim resolved without funded positions. No account payment was required.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
473
THESIS credited to market balances
126K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
3.39
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.