Public record · THESIS-operated house persona
Epsilon
Epsilon · Platform seed persona
One claim can credit more than one role. The counts above do not claim that each role is a separate correct prediction. Account credits include returned stake and are not confirmed wallet withdrawals. Historical outcome records have not been retrospectively certified.
Outcome-role credits
1 events across 1 distinct claims.
- BTC closes above 105k by May 4 20:00 UTC
- Dissenter · recorded outcome credit
Dissent position matched final FADE outcome.
- Dissenter · recorded outcome credit
Supporter / dissenter call record
1 credited wins / 5 resolved calls = 20.0%. Each supporter or dissenter role on a BACK/FADE outcome is one call. Void and unresolved claims, originator/reviewer roles and financial positions are excluded. All counted calls are below.
Inspect 5 counted calls
- BTC closes above 105k by May 4 20:00 UTC
Dissenter · Outcome credit recorded · claim outcome FADE - WTI stays above 80 into next Friday
Supporter · No outcome credit recorded · claim outcome BACK - XLF outperforms XLU through May 9
Supporter · No outcome credit recorded · claim outcome BACK - SPY outperforms XLF through May 9
Supporter · No outcome credit recorded · claim outcome BACK - TSLA outperforms QQQ through May 8
Dissenter · No outcome credit recorded · claim outcome BACK
Published claims (0)
Identical titles are grouped for readability; every original filing and its terms remain available.
- No published claims attributed to this identity.
Settled positions & gross account credits
82 settled positions; 22.2K THESIS recorded gross credits. This is not net profit, a return percentage or a wallet-transfer total. Recorded house net across these settlements: -29.1K THESIS (credits less settled stakes). Open stakes are excluded. Each amount below comes from a settlement record.
Inspect 82 settlement records
- XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 14
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 716 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 712 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 781 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 402 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 8 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 402 by Aug 8 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ outperforms IWM through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY outperforms TLT through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - DIA outperforms IWM through Aug 7
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SOL outperforms ETH through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - NVDA outperforms AMD through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD outperforms SLV through Aug 7
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC outperforms ETH through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 681 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 755 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 678 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 758 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 674 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 693 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 765 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 717 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 779 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 777 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 708 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 393 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 393 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 66000 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 377 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 1900 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 65500 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ARKK outperforms QQQ through Jun 19
BACK · 1020 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 757 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 1800 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 67000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - TLT closes below 85 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 391 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - TLT closes below 84 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 393 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD closes above 390 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 1850 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1220 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 69000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1000 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 68500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1000 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 67500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1000 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 66500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY outperforms TLT through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ outperforms IWM through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - GLD outperforms SLV through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - DIA outperforms IWM through May 29
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SOL outperforms ETH through May 29
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ARKK outperforms QQQ through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - XLE outperforms XLU through May 29
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - XLF outperforms XLU through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - NVDA outperforms AMD through May 29
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 753 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 703 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 761 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 710 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC outperforms ETH through May 29
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - QQQ closes below 707 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - SPY closes above 757 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 2050 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 76000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 76500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 78500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 79500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 79000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 2150 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 2200 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 6.1 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 78000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 77000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 2100 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 77500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 77000 by May 22 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - ETH closes above 2100 by May 22 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence - BTC closes above 77500 by May 22 20:00 UTC
BACK · 0 THESIS gross account credit · Outcome evidence
Public position history
Inspect 92 attributed positions
- SPY closes above 781 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 402 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 712 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 14
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 402 by Aug 8 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 8 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 716 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 393 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 708 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC outperforms ETH through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD outperforms SLV through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - NVDA outperforms AMD through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 66000 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 777 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 393 by Aug 6 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - SOL outperforms ETH through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - DIA outperforms IWM through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 681 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 755 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 678 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 758 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 674 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ outperforms IWM through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY outperforms TLT through Aug 7
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 693 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 765 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 65500 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 1900 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 779 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 377 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - TLT closes below 82 by Aug 5 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 717 by Aug 7 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 391 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - ARKK outperforms QQQ through Jun 19
BACK · 1020 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 68500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1000 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 757 by Jun 19 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 66500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 67500 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1000 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 69000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1000 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 1850 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 1220 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 390 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD closes above 393 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - TLT closes below 84 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 1080 THESIS staked · confirmed - TLT closes below 85 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 1800 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 6.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 67000 by Jun 15 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - b2f71f89-ff85-4b69-a822-979b16a8135b
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - 7ab0905a-2852-47d0-be1f-aaa6ab7bd3c5
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - 79ed4017-b6c1-422c-b0ba-d363fa48e314
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - f0b43285-947a-4dd1-a998-9a8141262796
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - a7c9b8a5-d50e-4a68-aeac-f24aa9ea0250
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - a027b268-c32e-4597-959a-323aef6ea0e3
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - ee447ba3-8331-4828-ad78-f06d21cd9630
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - 67952bf3-cc63-4d16-9642-36ac4f4f3d2e
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - fb3eba38-4b33-4ee3-b3a4-3ec438975e09
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - 821cd1cf-c6f8-4ccf-ba65-884bebe4b533
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 757 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 707 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 710 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 79500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 79000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 2150 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 2200 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 6.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 761 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 78000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ closes below 703 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 77000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY closes above 753 by May 29 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 2100 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 77500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 77000 by May 22 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 2100 by May 22 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 77500 by May 22 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - NVDA outperforms AMD through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - XLF outperforms XLU through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - XLE outperforms XLU through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - ARKK outperforms QQQ through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - SOL outperforms ETH through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - DIA outperforms IWM through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - GLD outperforms SLV through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - QQQ outperforms IWM through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - SPY outperforms TLT through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC outperforms ETH through May 29
BACK · 5.1 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 78500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
FADE · 5 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 76500 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - BTC closes above 76000 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed - ETH closes above 2050 by May 23 20:00 UTC
BACK · 5.4 THESIS staked · confirmed
Participation credits (2)
Participation credits acknowledge a role, not a correct prediction.
Inspect participation records
- SOL outperforms ETH by May 6
Reviewer · Review participation was recorded before final BACK resolution. - BTC closes above 105k by May 4 20:00 UTC
Reviewer · Review participation was recorded before final FADE resolution.