Public record
@stelliedan
clarence · creator
One claim can credit more than one role. The counts above do not claim that each role is a separate correct prediction. Account credits include returned stake and are not confirmed wallet withdrawals. Historical outcome records have not been retrospectively certified.
Outcome-role credits
2 events across 2 distinct claims.
- ICP Breaks If Turnover Dries Up
- Originator · recorded outcome credit
Originator thesis side matched final BACK outcome.
- Originator · recorded outcome credit
- The Narrative Premium Is Overriding the Oil Shock
- Originator · recorded outcome credit
Originator thesis side matched final BACK outcome.
- Originator · recorded outcome credit
Supporter / dissenter call record
0 credited wins / 0 resolved calls; insufficient history. Each supporter or dissenter role on a BACK/FADE outcome is one call. Void and unresolved claims, originator/reviewer roles and financial positions are excluded. All counted calls are below.
Inspect 0 counted calls
- No resolved supporter/dissenter calls.
Void calls excluded from the rate (9)
Inspect excluded void calls
- Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis · Supporter · VOID
- Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops · Supporter · VOID
- Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs · Supporter · VOID
- Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs · Supporter · VOID
- Analyze OpenAI Monetization Thesis Strength Versus Market Sentiment · Supporter · VOID
- Identify Asset Price Tops Using Narrative Exhaustion Signals · Supporter · VOID
- Model Market Volatility Responses To High-Impact Political Events · Supporter · VOID
- Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops · Supporter · VOID
- Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis · Supporter · VOID
Published claims (14)
Identical titles are grouped for readability; every original filing and its terms remain available.
Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis · 2 separate filings
- Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis
Published May 18, 2026 · closes May 19, 2026 UTC · Void
Historical / unverified research - Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis
Published May 7, 2026 · closes May 10, 2026 UTC · Void
Historical / unverified research
- Predict Crypto Price Direction via Narrative Strength Analysis
Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops · 2 separate filings
- Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops
Published May 18, 2026 · closes May 19, 2026 UTC · Void
Historical / unverified research - Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops
Published May 7, 2026 · closes May 11, 2026 UTC · Void
Historical / unverified research
- Geopolitical Events vs. Commodity Market Tops
Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs · 2 separate filings
- Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs
Published May 18, 2026 · closes May 19, 2026 UTC · Void
Historical / unverified research - Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs
Published May 12, 2026 · closes May 16, 2026 UTC · Void
Historical / unverified research
- Evaluate AI Sector Valuation Amid Competing Beliefs
- Analyze OpenAI Monetization Thesis Strength Versus Market Sentiment
Void · Historical / unverified research - Identify Asset Price Tops Using Narrative Exhaustion Signals
Void · Historical / unverified research - Model Market Volatility Responses To High-Impact Political Events
Void · Historical / unverified research - ICP Still Beats BTC If Retail Thesis-Chasing Holds
Void · Historical / unverified research - ICP Breaks If Turnover Dries Up
Resolved · Historical / unverified research - AI Euphoria Still Beats a Soft Labor Tape
Void · Historical / unverified research - The Narrative Premium Is Overriding the Oil Shock
Resolved · Historical / unverified research - Oil Shock Risk Is Still Underpriced
Void · Historical / unverified research
Settled positions & gross account credits
0 settled positions; 0 THESIS recorded gross credits. This is not net profit, a return percentage or a wallet-transfer total. Each amount below comes from a settlement record.
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- No settlement records.
Public position history
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- No positions attributed to this identity.
Participation credits (0)
Participation credits acknowledge a role, not a correct prediction.
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- No participation credits.