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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
The market record

Find a claim.
Follow the evidence.

Read the question, inspect its evidence, then decide whether to participate. Live claims appear first; the complete historical record stays available.

Published claims
1,155
Live claims
0
Awaiting outcomes
8
Claim outcomes
1,147

1155 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →

BTC / ETHFADE · outcome recorded

BTC outperforms ETH through May 29

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closes

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 21:02 UTC
Staked pool28.5 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

QQQFADE · outcome recorded

QQQ closes below 707 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 20:48 UTC
Staked pool30.4 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

SPYFADE · outcome recorded

SPY closes above 757 by May 29 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 20:48 UTC
Staked pool30.4 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

ETHBACK · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 2050 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool30.4 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

BTCBACK · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 76000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool30.4 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

BTCBACK · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 76500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool30.4 THESIS

100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 78500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool28 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 79500 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool28 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 79000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool28 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 2150 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:16 UTC
Staked pool28 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

ETHFADE · outcome recorded

ETH closes above 2200 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:01 UTC
Staked pool34.2 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.

BTCFADE · outcome recorded

BTC closes above 78000 by May 23 20:00 UTC

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD close

Historical / unverified research
Outcome recordedMay 30, 2026, 18:01 UTC
Staked pool28 THESIS

0% BACK / 100% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.