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Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
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The public record

Outcomes & credits.

Every claim leaves a record. Explore outcomes, source evidence and credits to THESIS market balances.

Across the
public record
1,137Claims with recorded outcomes
114Funded settlement batches
125.9KTHESISGross market credits · includes stake
Browse the record
How to read a receipt

114 claim records · Newest outcome first

Page 2 of 6

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 394.82 USD on 2026-09-25

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
0.53
Market credits · THESIS
0.52
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.01 THESIS.

Winning pool 0.27 / losing pool 0.27 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.00 · treasury allocation 0.00 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference d8830b05-8e9a-44c5-80a0-9eb6810cfebf.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 733.69 USD on 2026-09-25

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.86
Market credits · THESIS
9.71
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.93 / losing pool 4.93 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference 18c05eda-085b-45d7-b53d-e08c78d5082e.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 80.6 USD on 2026-09-21

Yahoo Finance historical price dataOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
9.96
Market credits · THESIS
9.81
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

197 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0.15 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.98 / losing pool 4.98 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0.07 · treasury allocation 0.07 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Sep 24, 2026, 10:42 PM UTC. Batch reference 0104681c-a7db-44d6-8b47-9adc2e2dbe74.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 14

Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 5.7K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 5.7K THESIS.

Burn allocation 2.9K · treasury allocation 2.9K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 15, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC. Batch reference 42f2759a-d902-4ac3-981f-59dcc0d412dd.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 716 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC. Batch reference 70af523d-0295-451b-a858-398d4fa7865f.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

QQQ closes below 712 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance QQQ closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 PM UTC. Batch reference d24cc4cd-276a-4721-8a4c-8bebd9c26f68.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

SPY closes above 781 by Aug 14 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance SPY closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
2.2K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 2.2K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 2.2K THESIS.

Burn allocation 1.1K · treasury allocation 1.1K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 14, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC. Batch reference 2eac4368-6d50-45fd-acd5-e017b13e9dc2.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 82 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 9, 2026, 8:26 PM UTC. Batch reference c159baae-a018-4d92-9fc1-0e6ded8913f8.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 402 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 9, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC. Batch reference d1f2a7e9-8a37-47fa-ac54-95d272dff132.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

ETH closes above 1950 by Aug 9 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance ETH-USD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
4.7K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
4
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 4.7K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 4.7K THESIS.

Burn allocation 2.4K · treasury allocation 2.4K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 9, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC. Batch reference 4ff6aeaf-8c24-441c-82b2-9524df52a04f.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

TLT closes below 82 by Aug 8 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance TLT closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC. Batch reference 3927fefc-36c0-4496-9363-308427d24af1.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD closes above 402 by Aug 8 20:00 UTC

Yahoo Finance GLD closeOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
6.1K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 6.1K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 6.1K THESIS.

Burn allocation 3K · treasury allocation 3K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Batch reference 3e70d012-940b-47d8-86c3-94a9dafde11c.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

XLF outperforms XLU through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance XLF and XLU closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC. Batch reference 8c3b9dad-f03d-4ed9-a932-c163c82b2bb0.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

QQQ outperforms IWM through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC. Batch reference d8b7347c-4a8e-42ea-9edc-c1203fd1e898.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SPY outperforms TLT through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance SPY and TLT closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC. Batch reference afd188d8-b63a-41cd-bdbb-938ca158bb6c.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

DIA outperforms IWM through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance DIA and IWM closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 5.7K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 5.7K THESIS.

Burn allocation 2.9K · treasury allocation 2.9K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC. Batch reference a93d5247-bffc-4372-be16-d3c9571fa9b5.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

SOL outperforms ETH through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
5.7K
Market credits · THESIS
5.7K
Positions settled
5
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 5.7K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC. Batch reference e83a05cc-a598-4907-b33a-a4ea9c56e03c.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

NVDA outperforms AMD through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance NVDA and AMD closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
4.4K
Market credits · THESIS
4.4K
Positions settled
4
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 4.4K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC. Batch reference 2d114926-8297-4ef3-98b2-bed39bff989f.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded FADE

GLD outperforms SLV through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance GLD and SLV closesOutcome recorded

Positions settled — no winning credits

Pool · THESIS
3.2K
Market credits · THESIS
0
Positions settled
3
Credit & fee breakdown
Not applicable — no winning-side positions

No-winning-position allocation: 3.2K THESIS. The entire losing pool was allocated because no positions held the winning side.

Winning pool 0 / losing pool 3.2K THESIS.

Burn allocation 1.6K · treasury allocation 1.6K THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC. Batch reference 258df241-4fae-4a59-b27a-08e1e2cdff35.

Funded settlement receiptRecorded BACK

BTC outperforms ETH through Aug 7

Yahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closesOutcome recorded

Market balance credits recorded

Pool · THESIS
2.1K
Market credits · THESIS
2.1K
Positions settled
2
Credit & fee breakdown
Total market credit per 100 THESIS on the winning side

100 THESIS total credit, including 100 THESIS stake. Net profit is total credit minus stake.

Percentage fee allocation: 0 THESIS.

Winning pool 2.1K / losing pool 0 THESIS.

Burn allocation 0 · treasury allocation 0 THESIS. These are allocations, not confirmation of on-chain transfers.

Account batch recorded Aug 8, 2026, 8:32 PM UTC. Batch reference a10379e3-3d4b-4669-b0de-c102509ed75f.

Reading the record

Three stages.
Different meanings.

Historical records remain available. Listing a result is not a new certification of its evidence.

01

Outcome

The claim has a recorded result. Even claims with no positions can have an outcome.

02

Market credit

A settlement batch records credits to THESIS accounts. Gross credits include returned stake—not just profit.

03

Withdrawal

A separate wallet transaction. These receipts do not count or confirm wallet withdrawals.

Full totals & fee allocations
Claims with recorded outcomes
Funded settlement batches
Positions settled in those batches
447
THESIS credited to market balances
125.9K
Percentage fee allocations · THESIS
2.16
No-winning-position allocations · THESIS
145.9K

One claim can have many positions but a single settlement batch. A claim without positions can have an outcome without a funded receipt. These totals use different units; none counts wallet withdrawals.

Settlement credits your THESIS market balance. It does not send tokens to your wallet. A wallet withdrawal is a separate request and transaction.

Under the current rule, 3% of the losing pool is allocated to fees when winning-side positions exist; winners share the remaining losing pool in proportion to their stake. A losing position returns 0. If no one held the winning side, there are no winning credits and the entire losing pool is allocated to the burn and treasury buckets. Those allocations do not prove an on-chain burn or transfer. Solana network costs are separate.