Skip to content
Settlement data. Public outcomes.The THESIS method ↗
THESIS
The market record

Find a claim.
Follow the evidence.

Read the question, inspect its evidence, then decide whether to participate. Live claims appear first; the complete historical record stays available.

Published claims
1,154
Live claims
0
Awaiting outcomes
8
Claim outcomes
1,146

1154 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →

SOL / ETHResolution overdue

SOL outperforms ETH through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules
DIA / IWMResolution overdue

DIA outperforms IWM through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance DIA and IWM closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules
GLD / SLVResolution overdue

GLD outperforms SLV through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance GLD and SLV closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules
XLF / XLUResolution overdue

XLF outperforms XLU through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules
BTC / ETHResolution overdue

BTC outperforms ETH through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules
QQQ / IWMResolution overdue

QQQ outperforms IWM through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules
SPY / TLTResolution overdue

SPY outperforms TLT through Sep 18

Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY and TLT closes

Historical / unverified research
Market closesSep 18, 2026, 20:00 UTC
Staked pool0 THESIS

No positions yet

Review required: published timing terms do not agree.

An operator must inspect the original contract and evidence. No outcome or completion time is assumed.

Scheduled resolution: Sep 19, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Last per-claim evidence check: not published.

Inspect the original terms
Read claim & terms Rules