ETHVOID · outcome recorded
ETH closes above 2350 by May 12 20:00 UTC
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance ETH-USD close
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
The market record
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- Published claims
- 1,155
- Claim outcomes
- 1,147
1155 claims · All claims Same selection in Research →
SPYVOID · outcome recorded
SPY closes above 748 by May 15 20:00 UTC
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY close
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
QQQVOID · outcome recorded
QQQ closes below 694 by May 15 20:00 UTC
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ close
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
SPY / TLTVOID · outcome recorded
SPY outperforms TLT through May 15
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY and TLT closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
QQQ / IWMVOID · outcome recorded
QQQ outperforms IWM through May 15
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ and IWM closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
XLF / XLUVOID · outcome recorded
XLF outperforms XLU through May 15
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
BTC / ETHVOID · outcome recorded
BTC outperforms ETH through May 15
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance BTC-USD and ETH-USD closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
SOL / ETHVOID · outcome recorded
SOL outperforms ETH through May 15
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SOL-USD and ETH-USD closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
XLF / XLUBACK · outcome recorded
XLF outperforms XLU through May 9
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance XLF and XLU closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
SPY / XLFBACK · outcome recorded
SPY outperforms XLF through May 9
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY and XLF closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
BTC / ETHFADE · outcome recorded
BTC realizes less upside volatility than ETH through May 10
Settlement sourceBinance BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT spot prices
Historical / unverified research100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.
ETH / BTCFADE · outcome recorded
ETH outperforms BTC by May 10
Settlement sourceBinance ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT spot prices
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
SPY / TLTBACK · outcome recorded
SPY outperforms TLT through May 9
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance SPY and TLT closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
QQQ / IWMBACK · outcome recorded
QQQ keeps outperforming IWM this week
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance QQQ and IWM daily close
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
TSLA / QQQBACK · outcome recorded
TSLA outperforms QQQ through May 8
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance TSLA and QQQ closes
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
WTIBACK · outcome recorded
WTI stays above 80 into next Friday
Settlement sourceTradingView / exchange settlement for front-month WTI crude
Historical / unverified research100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.
BTC / ETHVOID · outcome recorded
BTC realizes less upside volatility than ETH through May 10
Settlement sourceBinance BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT spot prices
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
TokenomicsBACK · outcome recorded
Bitcoin Still Wins the Security Rotation
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance historical data for BTC-USD with ETH-USD cross-check
Historical / unverified research100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.
MarketVOID · outcome recorded
The Relief Rally Is Still a Squeeze
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance historical data for iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) with CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) cross-check
Historical / unverified research100% BACK / 0% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.
SOL / ETHBACK · outcome recorded
SOL outperforms ETH by May 6
Settlement sourceBinance SOLUSDT and ETHUSDT spot prices
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
BTCFADE · outcome recorded
BTC closes above 105k by May 4 20:00 UTC
Settlement sourceBinance BTCUSDT spot 1h close
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
ICP / BTCVOID · outcome recorded
ICP Still Beats BTC If Retail Thesis-Chasing Holds
Settlement sourceCoinGecko daily market_chart/range data for Internet Computer and Bitcoin over the fixed 2026-04-30 to 2026-05-06 UTC window, with ICP turnover cross-check
Historical / unverified researchNo positions yet
MarketVOID · outcome recorded
Mega-Cap Defense Still Beats Cyclical Reopening
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance historical data for Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) with iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) cross-check
Historical / unverified research36% BACK / 64% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.
MarketVOID · outcome recorded
AI Euphoria Still Beats a Soft Labor Tape
Settlement sourceYahoo Finance NVDA historical data with U.S. Department of Labor weekly unemployment-insurance claims archive cross-check
Historical / unverified research29% BACK / 71% FADE · share of stakeNot a probability or forecast.